Answer extracted from the Pod Save America podcast — listen to the full episode below.
Yes—Democrats outspent Republicans two to one on digital advertising in 2024, closing a gap that had plagued the party since 2016. But the real problem is not money: it's strategy. Democrats are still running digital programs that mirror television tactics, which means their spending advantage buys far less effectiveness than the raw numbers suggest.
The diagnosis is straightforward but damning. As Danielle Butterfield explains in the episode, the party solved the headline problem—the budget gap—without solving the deeper structural problem: how Democrats think about digital as a medium.
Nine out of the ten top YouTube ads in 2024 were 30-second spots that had originally run on television. Democrats were taking television creative, uploading it to YouTube, and expecting engagement that mirrors the television experience—passive viewing in a living room. On YouTube, TikTok, Instagram, and emerging platforms like ChatGPT and Gemini, that assumption collapses. The format, pacing, and cognitive context are entirely different.
This strategic misalignment matters most where it counts. Priorities USA's post-2024 research found that men watching more than three hours of YouTube per day showed among the highest vote swings toward Trump of any demographic segment studied. Yet the ads reaching them were designed for a medium those men had stopped consuming in significant numbers.
"Nine out of the ten top YouTube ads in 2024 were just 30-second ads that ran on TV first. We are quite literally practically taking 30-second ads that we run on TV and then putting them on YouTube and expecting people to watch them — and that is quite literally lighting money on fire."
Danielle Butterfield — Executive Director, Priorities USA. Butterfield joined Priorities USA in 2017 following the Hillary Clinton campaign, initially as Digital Director. She negotiated to build an in-house team focused purely on innovation rather than relying on outside consultants. Under her leadership, Priorities USA transformed from a traditional presidential super PAC into an organization anchored in digital research, infrastructure, and innovation.
The deeper insight is that closing a spending gap is diagnostic theater if the underlying playbook remains rooted in broadcast logic. Butterfield's team is already running a $30 million 2026 campaign to define Republican 2028 candidates, informed by research across TikTok, YouTube, Instagram, and AI chatbots—platforms where strategy cannot simply be a TV ad transplant. That structural rethinking, not more budget allocation, is what Democratic digital strategy needed to learn between 2016 and 2024.
Priorities USA was originally a presidential super PAC that spent tens of millions of dollars electing Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, and Joe Biden. After 2016, it evolved into an organization anchored in digital research, infrastructure, and innovation across election cycles.
Zuckerberg's stated goal is to give everyone personal super intelligence to help run their lives, but Newton argues that super intelligence by definition is potentially problematic without proper safeguards.
Newton says he was advised by readers to focus on what is actually happening today rather than trying to predict the future, because future predictions are inherently uncertain.